Politics · US elections
Question
Will the Republican Party win the CA-06 House seat?
Live
Yes
1.4 % chance
No
98.6 % chance
$500.01
4
Trading opened Jan 28, 2026 06:09 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 1.4 %chance
- Yes 1.4¢ · No 98.6¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
5.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
1.4¢
Yes price now
4.6¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
3
Smart money
2
Top holders
- co…atNo2,814
- lo…ayYes8,085
- Pr…ieNo966.9
- Si…eeNo620.1
- as…sdNo477.3
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