Politics · US electionsMidterms
Question
Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and ≤207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?
Live · starts Nov 3 17:00 UTC
Yes
5.5 % chance
No
94.5 % chance
$1.1K
17
Trading opened Jun 25, 2026 17:30 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms? → all 13 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 5.5 %chance
- Yes 5.5¢ · No 94.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
3.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
5.5¢
Yes price now
2.1¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
26
Smart money
16
Top holders
- Lu…ysNo499.5
- do…meNo458.6
- sm…ptNo297
- ba…arNo230
- Vi…axNo218.2
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