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Weather · Hong KongHong Kong Daily Lowest Temperature

Question

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 21?

Live · started Oct 19 04:29 UTC

Yes
0.1 % chance
No
99.9 % chance
$2.2K
52

Trading opened Oct 19, 2026 04:30 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 21, 2026 12:00 UTC

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on October 21? → all 11 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 0.1 %chance
  • Yes 0.1¢ · No 99.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

19.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.1¢
Yes price now
19.3¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
105
Smart money
40

Top holders

  • 68…84No330.5
  • Ry…InNo207.5
  • Vi…axNo123.4
  • Ve…ndYes181.8
  • Ca…etYes279.5

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Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 21? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank