WeatherTyphoon
How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?
Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?
Live
Yes
49.5 % chance
No
50.5 % chance
$9.2K
59
Trading opened Aug 5, 2026 18:47 UTC · Scheduled close Jul 1, 2027 03:59 UTC
How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026? → all 6 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- Yes49.5¢
- No50.5¢
- 1D: Loading…
Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
32.1¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
49.5¢
Yes price now
17.4¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
211
Smart money
13
Top holders
- mi…i1Yes6,342
- Gr…geNo743.2
- mi…ktNo610.3
- Dr…NLNo595
- In…erNo655
See who's really positioned here
The traders active here ranked by their measured track record in this category, the 24h order-flow chart, and the live fills feed — free with an account.
Connect to unlockNot affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.