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Politics · Middle EastIran

Question

Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?

Live

Yes
33.0 % chance
No
67.0 % chance
$1.8K
29

Trading opened Oct 6, 2026 14:08 UTC · Eligible for resolution Dec 1, 2026 04:59 UTC

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...? → all 11 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 33.0 %chance
  • Yes 33.0¢ · No 67.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

35.6¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
33.0¢
Yes price now
2.6¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
48
Smart money
24

Top holders

  • c…yYes1,497
  • me…rrNo1,040
  • Ne…ndYes626.2
  • Ko…23No417.5
  • ba…34Yes280

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Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank