Weather · Earthquakes6.5 Earthquake Weekly
Question
Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?
Live
Yes
0.4 % chance
No
99.6 % chance
$1.4K
45
Trading opened Oct 16, 2026 14:23 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 26, 2026 03:59 UTC
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide October 19 - October 25? → all 7 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.4 %chance
- Yes 0.4¢ · No 99.6¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
30.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.4¢
Yes price now
29.8¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
98
Smart money
34
Top holders
- Ki…ngYes987.4
- er…abNo424
- jo…onNo339.8
- Ye…rrNo300.3
- A…VNo436.5
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