Politics · US electionsMidterms
Question
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-02 House seat?
Live
Yes
66.5 % chance
No
33.5 % chance
$8.2K
71
Trading opened Dec 16, 2025 16:44 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 66.5 %chance
- Yes 66.5¢ · No 33.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
57.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
66.5¢
Yes price now
8.8¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
394
Smart money
55
Top holders
- so…esYes6,869
- Pr…ieNo1,246
- Ga…maNo916.8
- e…3No829.6
- ci…esYes628.2
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