Politics · Middle EastOilships transit the Strait of Hormuz
Question
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18?
Live
Yes
98.8 % chance
No
1.2 % chance
$4.9K
21
Trading opened Oct 9, 2026 21:32 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 19, 2026 03:59 UTC
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of October 12? → all 6 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 98.8 %chance
- Yes 98.8¢ · No 1.2¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
28.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
98.8¢
Yes price now
70.3¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
46
Smart money
14
Top holders
- f…hYes1,046
- it…erYes1,047
- .…tYes1,139
- Ki…ngYes509.4
- ra…woYes731.5
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