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World · Ukraine & Russia

Question

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Live

Yes
2.8 % chance
No
97.2 % chance
$63.9K
15

Trading opened May 27, 2026 22:14 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...? → all 3 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 2.8 %chance
  • Yes 2.8¢ · No 97.2¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

10.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
2.8¢
Yes price now
7.7¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
18
Smart money
7

Top holders

  • Go…IaNo206,581
  • Zn…ezYes471,385
  • ol…loNo88,888
  • bo…77No82,731
  • Or…usNo67,000

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Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank