World · Ukraine & RussiazelenskyyUkraine cede territory
Question
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by December 31, 2027?
Live
Yes
35.0 % chance
No
65.0 % chance
$11.00
4
Trading opened Oct 20, 2026 21:49 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2028 04:59 UTC
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...? → all 4 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 35.0 %chance
- Yes 35.0¢ · No 65.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
44.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
35.0¢
Yes price now
9.0¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
3
Smart money
1
Top holders
- A…VNo19.4
- Ac…iaYes11.8
- Bl…goYes11.4
- AnonymousNo6
- Re…seYes2.3
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