Politics · US electionsMidterms
Question
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 12%-15%?
Live
Yes
0.3 % chance
No
99.7 % chance
$718.78
17
Trading opened Aug 4, 2026 18:00 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Florida Senate Election Margin of Victory → all 12 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.3 %chance
- Yes 0.3¢ · No 99.7¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
6.1¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.3¢
Yes price now
5.9¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
21
Smart money
14
Top holders
- Ba…cyNo300
- sh…ooYes653
- Pr…ieYes413.2
- Ha…thNo80.1
- XA…elNo76.1
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