Weather · New York CityNYC Daily Weather
Question
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 78°F or higher on October 9?
Live · starts Oct 9 04:00 UTC
Yes
0.3 % chance
No
99.7 % chance
$105.43
12
Trading opened Oct 7, 2026 07:56 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 9, 2026 12:00 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.3 %chance
- Yes 0.3¢ · No 99.7¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
0.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.3¢
Yes price now
0.0¢
Holders paid the current price
24h fills
19
Smart money
9
Top holders
- xi…ngNo28.1
- sm…ptNo20
- Lu…ysNo16.1
- Ju…reNo12.5
- lo…inNo10
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