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Politics · US electionsMichigan Midterm

Question

Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?

Live

Yes
69.5 % chance
No
30.5 % chance
$5.4K
47

Trading opened Oct 13, 2025 21:42 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

Michigan Senate Election Winner → all 13 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 69.5 %chance
  • Yes 69.5¢ · No 30.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

66.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
69.5¢
Yes price now
3.3¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
54
Smart money
23

Top holders

  • la…inYes64,422
  • Sl…niYes57,469
  • fl…ceNo78,237
  • ci…esNo58,279
  • be…inYes19,580

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Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank