Politics · US electionsMidterms
Question
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-38 House election by 30% or more?
Live
Yes
36.0 % chance
No
64.0 % chance
$19.39
2
Trading opened Sep 2, 2026 19:41 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 3, 2026 12:00 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 36.0 %chance
- Yes 36.0¢ · No 64.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
1.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
37.0¢
Yes price now
36.0¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
1
Smart money
1
Top holders
- Hi…eyNo19.6
- 44…enYes19.6
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