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Politics · US elections

Question

Democratic 2028 presidential odds hit 80% by March 31?

Live

Yes
7.5 % chance
No
92.5 % chance
$201.09
12

Trading opened Nov 3, 2026 23:16 UTC · Eligible for resolution Apr 1, 2027 03:59 UTC

Democratic 2028 presidential odds hit __ by March 31? → all 4 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 7.5 %chance
  • Yes 7.5¢ · No 92.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

7.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
7.5¢
Yes price now
0.3¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
15
Smart money
10

Top holders

  • li…erNo554.6
  • Ai…rdYes768.4
  • Di…leNo146
  • ri…eeNo100
  • n…1No50

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Democratic 2028 presidential odds hit 80% by March 31? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank