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Politics · US electionsMidterms

Question

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 6%-9%?

Live

Yes
2.0 % chance
No
98.0 % chance
$325.17
10

Trading opened Aug 4, 2026 18:42 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

Texas Senate Election Margin of Victory → all 12 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 2.0 %chance
  • Yes 2.0¢ · No 98.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

4.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
2.0¢
Yes price now
2.0¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
10
Smart money
9

Top holders

  • SA…erNo576.7
  • Lu…ysNo160.3
  • A…VYes780
  • ka…78No70
  • mi…27No50

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Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 6%-9%? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank