Crypto · BitcoinBitcoin Neg Risk Weekly
Question
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 21?
Live
Yes
1.5 % chance
No
98.5 % chance
$3.4K
15
Trading opened Oct 14, 2026 16:00 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 21, 2026 16:00 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 1.5 %chance
- Yes 1.5¢ · No 98.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
7.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
1.5¢
Yes price now
6.0¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
57
Smart money
10
Top holders
- Im…akNo1,833
- co…peNo1,467
- a…rNo1,199
- AnonymousNo1,103
- sl…orYes656
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