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World · Global elections

Question

Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?

Live

Yes
0.7 % chance
No
99.3 % chance
$770.90
16

Trading opened Sep 23, 2026 20:14 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 25, 2026 23:59 UTC

Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory → all 10 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 0.7 %chance
  • Yes 0.7¢ · No 99.3¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

4.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.7¢
Yes price now
3.6¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
23
Smart money
15

Top holders

  • do…meNo308.7
  • Lu…ysNo238.5
  • sm…ptNo135
  • ba…arNo128.9
  • Ju…reNo106.7

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Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank