Politics · Middle EastIran
Question
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?
Live
Yes
6.5 % chance
No
93.5 % chance
$12.1K
24
Trading opened Sep 28, 2026 14:12 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 16, 2026 03:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 6.5 %chance
- Yes 6.5¢ · No 93.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
6.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
6.5¢
Yes price now
0.1¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
31
Smart money
17
Top holders
- sc…usNo7,325
- Va…shNo7,324
- Kr…reNo7,046
- st…22No5,065
- 18…utNo5,000
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