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Weather · Hong KongHong Kong Daily Lowest Temperature

Question

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 25?

Live · started Oct 23 04:29 UTC

Yes
3.5 % chance
No
96.5 % chance
$3.1K
57

Trading opened Oct 23, 2026 04:29 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 25, 2026 12:00 UTC

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on October 25? → all 11 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 3.5 %chance
  • Yes 3.5¢ · No 96.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

12.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
3.9¢
Yes price now
8.5¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
189
Smart money
46

Top holders

  • h…vYes1,146
  • Be…77Yes999.8
  • Ke…axNo250
  • Lu…ysNo220.8
  • Cb…edNo218.9

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Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 25? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank