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Weather · San FranciscoSan Francisco Daily Weather

Question

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on October 7?

Live · starts 07:00 UTC

Yes
28.5 % chance
No
71.5 % chance
$860.29
65

Trading opened Oct 5, 2026 10:56 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 7, 2026 12:00 UTC

Highest temperature in San Francisco on October 7? → all 11 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 28.5 %chance
  • Yes 28.5¢ · No 71.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

16.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
28.5¢
Yes price now
12.1¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
83
Smart money
50

Top holders

  • cl…dyNo282.7
  • he…67Yes406
  • Vi…erYes275
  • h…vNo150.6
  • AM…13No128

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Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on October 7? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank