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Politics · US elections

Question

Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat?

Live

Yes
13.0 % chance
No
87.0 % chance
$9.1K
70

Trading opened Jan 28, 2026 21:51 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

NC-05 House Election Winner → all 8 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 13.0 %chance
  • Yes 13.0¢ · No 87.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

81.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
13.5¢
Yes price now
68.0¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
271
Smart money
61

Top holders

  • so…esYes4,028
  • gm…mgNo1,991
  • sa…xzYes1,755
  • co…atYes1,594
  • Lu…ysNo1,490

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Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank