Politics · Middle EastIran
Question
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?
Live
Yes
75.5 % chance
No
24.5 % chance
$4.6K
67
Trading opened Nov 4, 2026 06:07 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 9, 2026 04:59 UTC
US-Iran effective ceasefire continues through...? → all 6 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 75.5 %chance
- Yes 75.5¢ · No 24.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
Yes price now 75.5¢ · holder entry warming up.
24h fills
108
Smart money
30
Top holders
- m…sYes2,417
- pa…aaNo1,834
- sy…ovYes768.7
- la…anYes745.4
- Je…55Yes735.6
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