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Politics · US electionsUnited States

Question

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

Live · starts Nov 3 12:00 UTC

Yes
8.5 % chance
No
91.5 % chance
$34.5K
58

Trading opened Jul 11, 2025 21:05 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms → all 5 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 8.5 %chance
  • Yes 8.5¢ · No 91.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

13.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
8.5¢
Yes price now
5.4¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
301
Smart money
33

Top holders

  • An…w5Yes1,419,557
  • Sl…niNo335,466
  • pl…isNo251,554
  • sc…ogNo167,687
  • Fl…tyNo143,354

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2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank