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Politics · US electionsMidterms

Question

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Georgia Senate election by 12%-15%?

Live

Yes
29.0 % chance
No
71.0 % chance
$10.5K
19

Trading opened Aug 4, 2026 18:02 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

Georgia Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round) → all 12 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 29.0 %chance
  • Yes 29.0¢ · No 71.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

20.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
29.0¢
Yes price now
8.3¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
48
Smart money
16

Top holders

  • Al…53No5,754
  • Pr…ieYes3,139
  • sb…bgYes1,571
  • sh…ooYes639
  • ro…05No241.2

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Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Georgia Senate election by 12%-15%? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank