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Weather · WarsawWarsaw Daily Weather

Question

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C or higher on October 16?

Live · starts 22:00 UTC

Yes
77.0 % chance
No
23.0 % chance
$2.7K
92

Trading opened Oct 14, 2026 04:57 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 16, 2026 12:00 UTC

Highest temperature in Warsaw on October 16? → all 11 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 77.0 %chance
  • Yes 77.0¢ · No 23.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

39.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
77.0¢
Yes price now
37.8¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
146
Smart money
64

Top holders

  • AnonymousYes1,211
  • Br…icYes1,000
  • he…67No718.9
  • AnonymousNo597.3
  • Tu…urNo348.7

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Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C or higher on October 16? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank