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Politics · Global electionsUK

Question

Will the Labour Party candidate win 50% or more of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?

Live

Yes
0.2 % chance
No
99.8 % chance
$507.38
14

Trading opened Sep 14, 2026 22:50 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 8, 2026 23:59 UTC

Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: Labour Vote Share? → all 6 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 0.2 %chance
  • Yes 0.2¢ · No 99.8¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

12.1¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.2¢
Yes price now
11.9¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
16
Smart money
10

Top holders

  • Mx…usNo650
  • mr…deNo359.4
  • so…saYes803.2
  • Tr…tyYes422.9
  • Lu…ysNo158.4

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Will the Labour Party candidate win 50% or more of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank