Politics · Geopolitics
Question
US strike on Colombia by December 31?
Live
Yes
27.5 % chance
No
72.5 % chance
$10.1K
67
Trading opened Jan 4, 2026 19:55 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 27.5 %chance
- Yes 27.5¢ · No 72.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
25.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
27.5¢
Yes price now
1.6¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
126
Smart money
45
Top holders
- Th…ahNo21,273
- Be…onNo10,458
- pl…v2No7,589
- Do…ckNo6,572
- te…seYes11,953
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