Politics · Economy & the FedTrump
Question
Will there be exactly 2 government shutdowns by December 31, 2027?
Live
Yes
32.5 % chance
No
67.5 % chance
$1.3K
25
Trading opened Nov 5, 2026 01:15 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2028 04:59 UTC
How many government shutdowns by December 31, 2027? → all 4 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 32.5 %chance
- Yes 32.5¢ · No 67.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
21.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
32.5¢
Yes price now
11.3¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
38
Smart money
20
Top holders
- Ai…rdYes550.2
- Ar…lyNo200
- Pi…wgNo132.6
- sp…stNo90
- xt…meNo92.6
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