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Politics · US electionsMidterms

Question

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 18%-21%?

Live

Yes
0.5 % chance
No
99.5 % chance
$315.52
12

Trading opened Aug 4, 2026 18:00 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

Florida Senate Election Margin of Victory → all 12 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 0.5 %chance
  • Yes 0.5¢ · No 99.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

2.8¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.5¢
Yes price now
2.3¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
16
Smart money
10

Top holders

  • no…erNo85
  • XA…elNo83.2
  • Vi…axNo70
  • Ju…reNo63.6
  • Lu…ysNo61

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Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 18%-21%? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank