Politics · US electionsMidtermsDemocratic Senate Odds
Question
Democratic Senate odds <60% on November 2?
Live
Yes
0.5 % chance
No
99.5 % chance
$106.11
6
Trading opened Oct 28, 2026 22:25 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 2, 2026 17:00 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.5 %chance
- Yes 0.5¢ · No 99.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
2.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.5¢
Yes price now
1.7¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
9
Smart money
3
Top holders
- qu…elNo85
- Th…MANo80.7
- xt…meYes253.4
- Lu…ysNo54.5
- po…erNo35.6
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