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Politics · Ukraine & Russia

Question

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2027?

Live

Yes
60.5 % chance
No
39.5 % chance
$282.94
7

Trading opened Oct 3, 2026 14:34 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jul 1, 2027 03:59 UTC

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...? → all 9 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 60.5 %chance
  • Yes 60.5¢ · No 39.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

59.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
60.5¢
Yes price now
0.6¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
8
Smart money
5

Top holders

  • ne…89Yes600
  • A…VNo643.9
  • Tr…laYes391.9
  • ro…28No429
  • P…xNo390

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Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2027? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank