World · Global elections
Question
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–12%?
Open, no trades in the last 24 h
Yes
0.1 % chance
No
99.9 % chance
$0.00
0
Trading opened Oct 20, 2026 00:35 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 26, 2026 03:59 UTC
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Specific Margin of Victory → all 15 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.1 %chance
- Yes 0.1¢ · No 99.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
1.8¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.5¢
Yes price now
1.3¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
0
Smart money
0
Top holders
- Mr…llNo228
- A…VYes100
- Lo…tsYes48
- h…7Yes26.3
- sd…f2Yes20
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