World
Question
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?
Live
Yes
10.5 % chance
No
89.5 % chance
$2.8K
24
Trading opened Oct 18, 2026 13:59 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 1, 2026 03:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 10.5 %chance
- Yes 10.5¢ · No 89.5¢
Loading the price chart…
- 1D · All: Loading…
Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
Yes price now 10.5¢ · holder entry warming up.
24h fills
48
Smart money
20
Top holders
- v…iNo733.5
- Te…s7No465.7
- tr…e1No300
- sd…f2Yes550
- Gu…erNo211.9
See who's really positioned here
The traders active here ranked by their measured track record in this category, the 24h order-flow chart, and the live fills feed — free with an account.
Create account to unlockNot affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.
Loading market…