Politics · US elections
Question
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-05 House seat?
Live
Yes
94.5 % chance
No
5.5 % chance
$6.7K
56
Trading opened Jan 28, 2026 05:55 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 94.5 %chance
- Yes 94.5¢ · No 5.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
77.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
94.5¢
Yes price now
17.1¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
245
Smart money
47
Top holders
- so…esYes6,598
- cl…y1Yes2,317
- Th…meNo2,198
- gm…mgNo1,234
- Pr…ieNo781.2
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