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World · Global elections

Question

Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 30%-40%?

Live

Yes
5.6 % chance
No
94.4 % chance
$1.6K
24

Trading opened Sep 23, 2026 20:14 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 25, 2026 23:59 UTC

Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory → all 10 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 5.6 %chance
  • Yes 5.6¢ · No 94.4¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

6.8¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
5.6¢
Yes price now
1.2¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
30
Smart money
22

Top holders

  • Xu…ngNo1,216
  • do…meNo308.7
  • Lu…ysNo238.5
  • AnonymousYes796.7
  • qu…elNo145

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Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 30%-40%? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank