Politics · US electionsOil
Question
Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?
Live
Yes
8.6 % chance
No
91.4 % chance
$18.6K
41
Trading opened Oct 12, 2026 16:10 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms? → all 4 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 8.6 %chance
- Yes 8.6¢ · No 91.4¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
7.1¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
8.8¢
Yes price now
1.6¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
83
Smart money
36
Top holders
- ti…erNo10,000
- li…erNo8,020
- Lo…isYes23,488
- Di…oyNo1,401
- l…bNo1,308
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