Politics · US electionsOil
Question
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?
Live
Yes
14.4 % chance
No
85.6 % chance
$19.3K
22
Trading opened Oct 12, 2026 16:22 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms? → all 4 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 14.4 %chance
- Yes 14.4¢ · No 85.6¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
14.1¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
14.4¢
Yes price now
0.3¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
27
Smart money
20
Top holders
- ti…erNo9,407
- gu…23Yes11,556
- Ti…obNo2,500
- Po…ayYes579
- Cu…erNo215
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