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Politics · US elections

Question

Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?

Live

Yes
32.0 % chance
No
68.0 % chance
$7.3K
14

Trading opened Jan 28, 2026 22:14 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

VA-05 House Election Winner → all 8 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 32.0 %chance
  • Yes 32.0¢ · No 68.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

40.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
32.0¢
Yes price now
8.4¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
26
Smart money
10

Top holders

  • an…23No17,489
  • Lo…shYes10,329
  • Ch…arYes10,010
  • a…zNo4,589
  • Ga…maNo4,000

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Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank