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Politics · US electionsMidterms

Question

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 3%-6%?

Live

Yes
31.0 % chance
No
69.0 % chance
$1.3K
16

Trading opened Aug 11, 2026 19:10 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

TX-23 House Election Margin of Victory → all 13 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 31.0 %chance
  • Yes 31.0¢ · No 69.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

16.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
33.5¢
Yes price now
17.0¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
32
Smart money
13

Top holders

  • re…26Yes1,808
  • Lu…ysNo414.3
  • Jo…92No250
  • Vi…axNo244
  • xt…meNo182.9

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Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 3%-6%? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank