Politics · US elections
Question
Will the Republican Party win the PA-16 House seat?
Live
Yes
93.5 % chance
No
6.5 % chance
$3.1K
16
Trading opened Jan 28, 2026 22:02 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 93.5 %chance
- Yes 93.5¢ · No 6.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
86.8¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
93.5¢
Yes price now
6.7¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
35
Smart money
13
Top holders
- Cb…edYes1,102
- ma…ksYes600
- Si…eeNo1,275
- Pr…ieYes427.1
- G…dYes263
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