Politics · Middle EastOilships transit the Strait of Hormuz
Question
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18?
Live
Yes
0.6 % chance
No
99.4 % chance
$1.1K
11
Trading opened Oct 9, 2026 21:32 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 19, 2026 03:59 UTC
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of October 12? → all 6 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.6 %chance
- Yes 0.6¢ · No 99.4¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
37.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.6¢
Yes price now
36.9¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
13
Smart money
10
Top holders
- .…tNo360.3
- jo…onNo303
- ba…arNo318.1
- sa…99Yes285.8
- Fi…adYes250
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