Politics · US electionsMidterms
Question
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat?
Live
Yes
84.0 % chance
No
16.0 % chance
$4.5K
19
Trading opened Dec 16, 2025 18:48 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 84.0 %chance
- Yes 84.0¢ · No 16.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
64.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
84.0¢
Yes price now
19.1¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
62
Smart money
15
Top holders
- Ga…maYes2,913
- ci…esYes1,743
- Pr…ieYes1,784
- Sn…r7Yes1,956
- gr…11Yes1,292
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