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WorldLula Vote Share?

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Lula Vote Share? (Higher Strikes)

Will Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win less than 44% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Live

Yes
21.5 % chance
No
78.5 % chance
$1.3K
17

Trading opened Oct 2, 2026 18:13 UTC · Scheduled close Oct 5, 2026 02:59 UTC

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Lula Vote Share? (Higher Strikes) → all 6 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • Yes21.5¢
  • No78.5¢
  • 1D: Loading…

Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

29.1¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
21.5¢
Yes price now
7.6¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
21
Smart money
14

Top holders

  • 78…79Yes1,065
  • ba…arNo768.6
  • Be…onNo600
  • ga…25Yes652.6
  • AnonymousNo235.3

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Will Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win less than 44% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank