World · Global elections
Question
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?
Live
Yes
37.5 % chance
No
62.5 % chance
$1.3K
34
Trading opened Oct 5, 2026 19:31 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 26, 2026 03:59 UTC
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory → all 9 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 37.5 %chance
- Yes 37.5¢ · No 62.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
33.1¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
37.5¢
Yes price now
4.4¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
66
Smart money
22
Top holders
- sd…kyYes886.8
- Lu…ysNo550.4
- Ha…thNo458.3
- ba…arNo366.3
- pg…usYes295
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