Politics · US electionsMidterms
Question
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 15%-20%?
Live
Yes
1.3 % chance
No
98.7 % chance
$358.79
8
Trading opened Aug 4, 2026 18:41 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
South Carolina Senate Election Margin of Victory → all 10 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 1.3 %chance
- Yes 1.3¢ · No 98.7¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
7.1¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
1.3¢
Yes price now
5.8¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
10
Smart money
7
Top holders
- Lu…ysNo110.1
- sm…ptNo85
- go…26No85
- Ju…reNo84.8
- ci…esNo60
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