Politics · Global electionsUK
Question
Will the Green candidate win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election by a margin of 0-5%?
Live
Yes
2.1 % chance
No
97.9 % chance
$98.88
3
Trading opened Sep 14, 2026 22:50 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 8, 2026 23:59 UTC
Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: Vote Share Margin of Victory → all 9 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 2.1 %chance
- Yes 2.1¢ · No 97.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
6.1¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
2.1¢
Yes price now
4.0¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
2
Smart money
2
Top holders
- ba…arNo241.9
- Ad…shNo92.6
- pr…tyNo79
- Ad…stNo80
- Pe…rbYes338.3
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