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Weather · San FranciscoSan Francisco Daily Weather

Question

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 77°F or below on October 6?

Live · started 07:00 UTC

Yes
33.6 % chance
No
66.4 % chance
$3.0K
127

Trading opened Oct 4, 2026 10:56 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 6, 2026 12:00 UTC

Highest temperature in San Francisco on October 6? → all 11 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 33.6 %chance
  • Yes 33.6¢ · No 66.4¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

31.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
26.4¢
Yes price now
5.3¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
291
Smart money
92

Top holders

  • he…67Yes1,153
  • ba…h.Yes727
  • yo…07Yes513.4
  • g…fNo392.8
  • AnonymousYes304.3

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Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 77°F or below on October 6? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank