Politics · US electionsMidterms
Question
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-01 House election by 35%-40%?
Live
Yes
3.1 % chance
No
96.9 % chance
$2.64
3
Trading opened Aug 11, 2026 18:43 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 3.1 %chance
- Yes 3.1¢ · No 96.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
5.8¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
3.9¢
Yes price now
1.9¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
2
Smart money
2
Top holders
- Lu…ysNo171.9
- me…48No69.3
- Vi…axNo60
- ha…ayNo60
- ca…48No51.9
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