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Weather · San FranciscoSan Francisco Daily Weather

Question

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 90°F or higher on October 15?

Live · started 07:00 UTC

Yes
0.2 % chance
No
99.8 % chance
$98.43
11

Trading opened Oct 13, 2026 10:56 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 15, 2026 12:00 UTC

Highest temperature in San Francisco on October 15? → all 11 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 0.2 %chance
  • Yes 0.2¢ · No 99.8¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

0.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.2¢
Yes price now
0.2¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
12
Smart money
10

Top holders

  • sd…dgNo439.3
  • Ul…neNo80
  • Fr…ysNo60.2
  • He…ksNo60.2
  • Ho…rsNo60.2

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Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 90°F or higher on October 15? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank